2,497 publications from this institution
Medical interventions tend to have effects in the same direction for pain and sleep outcomes, but exceptions occur. Concordance is primarily seen for sleep and headache or musculoskeletal pain where many drugs may both disturb sleep and cause pain.
Abstract Policy decision‐making should use the best evidence obtained with the most rigorous and reproducible science and should be applied with minimal bias to maximize positive outcomes. This is particularly important in public health and other major decisions. Reality, however, is usually far from this ideal. The quality and use of scientific evidence to address wicked problems and sticky crises have been the focus of intense debate. Policymakers often succumb to fallacies, leading to suboptimal decision‐making and maladaptive practices. We map the key biases involved at three different, but communicating, domains: the scientific evidence itself, the policymakers and the citizens. Biases may be classified along two axes pertaining to the perception of the risk and the perception of the effectiveness of the intervention: minimizing risk (e.g. crisis denial), maximizing risk (e.g. moral panic), minimizing intervention effectiveness (e.g. anti‐medicine, anti‐government) and maximizing effectiveness (e.g. drug lobbyism). We discuss common cognitive biases, including normalcy bias, ostrich effect, negativity bias, Just World Fallacy, false consensus effect, action bias and death spiral effect. Furthermore, we present an overview of potential debiasing processes and tools. Debiasing may help enhance the quality of implementations and trust in institutions, to the benefit of both science and society at large.
To the Editor: The editorial by Rebbeck et al. ([1][1]) is timely and important. Here, I share some thoughts on this debate. The X team (real but anonymous here) meets successfully most proposed criteria. X has published nine articles on mostly brand new (but also some replicated) gene-disease
Objective A case definition of HIV lipodystrophy has recently been developed from a combination of clinical, metabolic and imaging/body composition variables using logistic regression methods. We aimed to evaluate whether artificial neural networks could improve the diagnostic accuracy. Methods The database of the case-control Lipodystrophy Case Definition Study was split into 504 subjects (265 with and 239 without lipodystrophy) used for training and 284 independent subjects (152 with and 132 without lipodystrophy) used for validation. Back-propagation neural networks with one or two middle layers were trained and validated. Results were compared against logistic regression models using the same information. Results Neural networks using clinical variables only (41 items) achieved consistently superior performance than logistic regression in terms of specificity, overall accuracy and area under the ROC curve. Their average sensitivity and specificity were 72.4 and 71.2%, as compared with 73.0 and 62.9% for logistic regression, respectively (area under the ROC curve, 0.784 vs 0.748). The discriminating performance of the neural networks was largely unaffected when built excluding 13 parameters that patients may not have readily available. The average sensitivity and specificity of the neural networks remained the same when metabolic variables were also considered (total 60 items) without a clear advantage against logistic regression (overall accuracy 71.8%). The performance of networks considering also body composition variables was similar to that of logistic regression (overall accuracy 78.5% for both). Conclusions Neural networks may offer a means to improve the discriminating performance for HIV lipodystrophy, when only clinical data are available and a rapid approximate diagnostic decision is needed. In this context, information on metabolic parameters is apparently not helpful in improving the diagnosis of HIV lipodystrophy, unless imaging and body composition studies are also obtained.
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