The reliability analysis of multi-membered structural systems such as steel tubular offshore platforms (jacket-type) has proved to be a challenging task. One matter of particular importance is the modelling of applied wave loading.
For the structural analyses used in reliability estimation, one single wave loading system only is most commonly considered. Real wave trains, however, reach the various structural components at different times. This may have an effect on the sequence of member failure and hence on structural failure. This can, in turn, affect the calculated probability of failure for the structure as a whole. The importance of this possibility is investigated in the paper for a reasonably realistic but idealized offshore structure.
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