Weather conditions in an urban environment differ from the conditions in a rural environment. This phenomenon is known as the urban heat island (UHI) effect. In this study the urban climate was monitored at five locations in Rotterdam (the Netherlands) for a period of 1.5 years. The urban heat island intensity was subsequently calculated by the difference between these results and measurements of the Royal Dutch meteorological institute (KNMI) at a rural area 5 km from the centre of Rotterdam. A data-driven method based on a neural network was used for the prediction of the UHI intensity. In this method the UHI intensity at a specific time is calculated as a function of eight weather parameters at that specific time as well as the preceding three hours. The results show a mean squared error on the test data of 0.18 °C. The results therefore indicate that the model reproduces the transient behaviour of the UHI intensity in an accurate manner. This approach can therefore be used to convert weather data of a rural area in weather data for an urban area and subsequently be used in building performance simulations.
F. van der Hoeven, Alexander Wandl, Betül Demir, Sophie Dikmans, Jafeth Hagoort, Marco Moretto, Pınar Sefkatli, Frans Snijder, Siriluck Songsri, Patrick Stijger, N. I. Yakovleva, Derk Wijtsma, Bert Blocken
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