The Dollar and its Discontents

The dollar fell by 10 per cent between its March 2020 high and the end of the calendar year, and many banks and forecasters expect it to fall further, by as much as 35 per cent in 2021. Dollar skeptics cite the end of safe-haven flows following the approval of COVID vaccines, the Federal Reserve’s aggressive quantitative easing, America’s twin deficits, and the rise of viable alternatives to the greenback. This article argues, in contrast, that this dollar pessimism is overdrawn.