Simulation of Extreme Hydrographs in Heterogeneous Catchments with Limited Data

Rainfall-based methods have been employed for computing hydrographs in urban drainage systems. However, their implementation often introduces uncertainty in various aspects, such as the selection of a unit hydrograph, the choice of abstraction methods, and the formulas used to calculate the time of concentration, among others. Conventional consultancy studies tend to oversimplify catchment representation by treating it as a homogeneous unit or discretizing it into a few segments with simplified flood routing. This research proposes a streamlined methodology for computing hydrographs, considering the sub-basins’ heterogeneity. The methodology is based on the principles of proportionality and superposition. A sensitivity analysis of the proposed methodology is conducted, considering both homogeneous and heterogeneous catchments and the temporal distribution of rainfall. The proposed methodology is applied to the catchment of the Ricaurte channel, located in Cartagena de Indias (Colombia), with a watershed area of 728.8 ha. It has proven effective in representing a recorded simultaneous rainfall-runoff event, achieving a Root Mean Square Error of 3.93% in estimating the total volume of the measured hydrographs. A key advantage of the methodology, compared to traditional rainfall–runoff approaches, is that it does not require an extensive number of parameters to be calibrated. It may be utilized to estimate extreme flood events in urban areas with limited data availability, relying on minimal data inputs.