Prognostic and predictive factors in patients treated with ramucirumab (RAM) with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP): Results from two phase III trials.

4146 Background: Elevated AFP in patients with aHCC is a poor prognostic factor with distinct molecular features, including high vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signalling and increased angiogenesis. RAM, a human IgG1 monoclonal antibody, VEGF receptor 2 (VEGFR2) inhibitor, demonstrated improved survival vs placebo among patients with elevated AFP in the REACH-2 trial and is accepted as a standard of care for management of aHCC. We analyzed prognostic factors in patients with AFP ≥400 ng/mL and predictors of clinical benefit to RAM in an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of the REACH and REACH-2 Phase III trials. Methods: Patients with aHCC, Child-Pugh A, ECOG performance status (PS) ≤1, and prior sorafenib were randomized (REACH 1:1; REACH-2 2:1) to RAM 8 mg/kg or Placebo Q2W. Meta-analysis was conducted in patients with AFP ≥400 ng/mL (n = 542). Univariate (UV) and multivariate (MV) analyses were performed using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. MV used the cut-off p-value < 0.1 from UV, irrespective of treatment arm. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox models. To define predictors of RAM benefit, treatment-by-covariate interactions terms were evaluated. Results: In terms of prognosis assessed by MV analysis in patients with AFP ≥400 ng/mL, 6 variables among demographic and baseline disease characteristics were associated with poor OS in the RAM cohort (ECOG PS 1, AFP > 1000 ng/mL, Child-Pugh > A5, Extrahepatic site > 1, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio > 3.2 and aspartate aminotransferase > 57 U/L) with an additional 3 factors identified within the whole cohort (macrovascular invasion presence, etiology HCV vs. Other and alkaline phosphatase ≥146). RAM benefit was present across all subgroups, including patients with very aggressive HCCs (AFP > 4000 ng/mL; HR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49-0.84) and those with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis /alcohol related aHCC (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.40-0.79). Of note, two treatment-emergent (TE) events were the only factors that were significantly associated with improved RAM-related survival: TE-hypertension (p interaction = 0.0392) and TE-ascites (p interaction = 0.0001). However, these results should be interpreted with caution given that TE events are factors only observed after randomization. Conclusions: Several poor prognostic factors for OS were identified in patients with aHCC and elevated AFP. RAM provided an OS benefit irrespective of baseline prognostic covariates, with greater benefit observed in patients with aggressive HCC and those who experienced TE-hypertension or TE-ascites. Clinical trial information: NCT01140347; NCT02435433.