New Statistical Models for Copolymerization

For many years, copolymerization has been studied using mathematical and statistical models. Here, we present new Markov chain models for copolymerization kinetics: the Bernoulli and Geometric models. They model copolymer synthesis as a random process and are based on a basic reaction scheme. In contrast to previous Markov chain approaches to copolymerization, both models take variable chain lengths and time-dependent monomer probabilities into account and allow for computing sequence likelihoods and copolymer fingerprints. Fingerprints can be computed from copolymer mass spectra, potentially allowing us to estimate the model parameters from measured fingerprints. We compare both models against Monte Carlo simulations. We find that computing the models is fast and memory efficient.