Identification of combinations of somatic mutations that predict cancer survival and immunotherapy benefit

Abstract Cancer evolves through the accumulation of somatic mutations over time. Although several methods have been developed to characterize mutational processes in cancers, these have not been specifically designed to identify mutational patterns that predict patient prognosis. Here we present CLICnet, a method that utilizes mutational data to cluster patients by survival rate. CLICnet employs Restricted Boltzmann Machines, a type of generative neural network, which allows for the capture of complex mutational patterns associated with patient survival in different cancer types. For some cancer types, clustering produced by CLICnet also predicts benefit from anti-PD1 immune checkpoint blockade therapy, whereas for other cancer types, the mutational processes associated with survival are different from those associated with the improved anti-PD1 survival benefit. Thus, CLICnet has the ability to systematically identify and catalogue combinations of mutations that predict cancer survival, unveiling intricate associations between mutations, survival, and immunotherapy benefit.