A Learning-to-Infer Method for Real-Time Power Grid Topology Identification.

Identifying arbitrary topologies of power networks in real time is a computationally hard problem due to the number of hypotheses that grows exponentially with the network size. A new variational inference method is developed for efficient inference of every line status in the network. Optimizing the variational model is transformed to and solved as a discriminative learning problem based on Monte Carlo samples generated with power flow simulations. A major advantage of the developed Learning-to-Infer method is that the labeled data used for training can be generated in an arbitrarily large amount fast and at very little cost. As a result, the power of offline training is fully exploited to learn very complex classifiers for effective real-time topology identification. The proposed methods are evaluated in the IEEE 30, 118 and 300 bus systems. Excellent performance in identifying arbitrary power network topologies in real time is achieved even with relatively simple variational models and a reasonably small amount of data.