Histograms of age-standardized (world standard) death certification rates from 24 cancers or groups of cancers and total cancer mortality for the 5-year calendar period 1990-94 were provided for 55 countries of the world: 35 countries in Europe, two in North America, nine in Latin America, two in Africa, five in Asia and two in Oceania. The highest male lung cancer mortality rates worldwide were registered in Hungary (82/100000), the Czech Republic and the Russian Federation, followed by other eastern European countries. Other major tobacco- (and alcohol)-related neoplasms also showed exceedingly high rates in Eastern Europe. For females, the highest lung cancer rates were in Scotland (29/100000), the United States (26/100000) and Denmark, reflecting the different spread of tobacco smoking in the two sexes. The highest rates for stomach cancer were in Latin America, the Russian Federation and Japan, and for colorectal cancer in the Czech Republic (37/100000 males, 20/100000 females) and Hungary. The highest breast cancer mortality rates were in Malta (30/100000 females), followed by Denmark and Britain, and for cancer of the prostate in Norway (23/100000), Switzerland and Sweden. With reference to total cancer mortality, the highest rates for males were in Hungary (262/100000), the Czech Republic (238/100000) and the Russian Federation (224/100000), and the lowest ones in Israel (127/100000), and Sweden (130/100000). In females, the highest total cancer mortality rates were in Denmark (142/100000), Scotland and Hungary, and the lowest ones in Greece (78/100000), France and Spain. These patterns of total cancer mortality for the two sexes reflect the major impact of tobacco-related neoplasms, and underline the substantial excess rates in most eastern European countries.
We reported a significant excess of colon (but not rectal) cancer following adenomatous polyps of the large intestine in the Canton of Vaud, Switzerland, over the period 1979–1990 (Levi et al., 1993a), with 27 cases observed vs. 10.3 expected. We also found an excess of second primary colorectal cancer and of prostatic cancer following a diagnosis of colorectal cancer (Levi et al., 1993b). Data from several cancer registries (e.g., Connecticut, Hoar et al., 1985; Denmark, Lynge et al., 1985; New South Wales, Australia, McCredie et al., 1997) showed excesses of cancers of the small intestine, breast, uterine corpus, ovary and prostate following cancers of the colon and rectum, pointing to a possible influence of inherited cancer genes and common hormonal, dietary or general lifestyle risk factors. A syndrome of multiple primary adenocarcinomas (predominantly colon, rectum, breast, pancreas, stomach, ovary and endometrium) has been described (Lynch and Smyrk, 1996) as part of hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer syndrome, but remains poorly defined (Li, 1996). To provide further quantitative information on the issue, we updated the analysis of the Vaud Cancer Registry over the period 1974–1994. This registry had intermediate colorectal cancer incidence rates (33.9/100,000 males, 22.8/100,000 females, world standard) on a European scale (Levi et al., 1998). It includes data concerning incident cases of malignant neoplasms in the Canton, which has a population, according to the 1990 census, of 601,816 inhabitants. Population-based incidence data on cancer have been available since 1974, whereas data on polyps were available for 1979 and since 1982. The registry is tumour-based, and multiple primaries in the same person are registered separately. Both passive and active follow-up are recorded (Levi et al., 1993a, 1997). After exclusion of 484 colorectal cancer cases detected at death or autopsy and of 101 cases whose colorectal cancer was synchronous (i.e., within 2 months) with another cancer, the present series comprised 5,261 colorectal cancers (World Health Organization, 1976; ICD-9 153–4) diagnosed between 1974 and 1994 and 4,300 polyps (adenomatous, ICD-O 8210/0; villous, 8261/1; and mixed type, 8263/0) diagnosed between 1979 and 1994 (rate of histological verification 97.8% for cancers and 100% for polyps). These persons were followed up to the end of 1994 for the occurrence of any cancer site or type, emigration or death for a total of 41,532 person-years at risk. Only second cancers occurring at a different site of the colon (i.e., right colon including caecum, appendix, ascending colon and hepatic flexure vs. left colon) from the first colon cancer were used to compute incidence. The computation of expected numbers of cases were based on site-, age- and calendar period-specific incidence rates multiplied by the corresponding number of person-years at risk. The significance of the observed-expected ratios (standardized incidence ratio, SIR) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals were based on the Poisson distribution. Table I gives the observed and expected number of various cancer sites following a diagnosis of adenomatous polyps and colon and/or rectal cancer. After polyps, colon (SIR = 2.03), but not rectal (SIR = 1.13), cancer was observed more frequently than expected. There was a significant excess of cancer of the stomach (20 observed, SIR = 1.86). Two cases of small intestinal cancer were observed vs. 1.1 expected (SIR = 1.91). A significant lack of infiltrating bladder cancer was found (6 observed, SIR = 0.45). For all other cancer sites, the SIRs were not significantly different from unity. Excluding colorectal cancers, a total of 237 cases was observed vs. 243.3 expected (SIR = 0.97). Overall, there were 303 neoplasms observed vs. 284.3 expected (SIR = 1.07). After diagnosis of colon cancer, non-significant excesses were seen for colon (SIR = 1.37) and rectal (SIR = 1.71) cancers. After rectal cancer, non-significant excesses were observed for colon (SIR = 1.52) and kidney (SIR = 1.92). When cancers of the colon and rectum were combined, the increase of colon cancer (SIR = 1.43) was significant, whereas no excess of rectal cancer (SIR = 1.03) was found. SIRs below unity were observed for pancreas (SIR = 0.29) and lung (SIR = 0.70). The present analysis confirms, on the basis of a doubled number of cases (Levi et al., 1993a), that the incidence of cancer of the colon, stomach and, possibly, small intestine (but not rectal cancer) is increased after adenomatous polyp of the large intestine (Atkin et al., 1993; Simons et al., 1992). After a diagnosis of colon cancer, an approximately 50% increased risk of cancer of the large bowel is present, which is similar for colon and rectum. Computation of the expected number of second primary cancer of the colon/rectum is, however, hampered by excision of part of the large intestine in most cases of colon cancer. No appreciable excess was observed for any extra-colonic cancer site. The lack of increases of the commonest adenocarcinomas does not support the inclusion of extra-colonic tumours in the spectrum of the hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer syndrome (Lynch and Smyrk, 1996). On account of limited study power, however, increases of less than 50% for breast, corpus uteri or prostate cannot be ruled out. Pancreatic cancer had an SIR significantly below unity, and lung cancer and other tobacco-related neoplasms tended to be, if anything, less frequent than expected after large bowel cancer. The present findings, therefore, are not consistent with the hypothesis that tobacco smoking is associated with colorectal cancer risk (Giovannucci and Martinez, 1996; Tavani et al., 1998). Fabio Levi fabio.levi@inst.hospvd.ch*, Lalao Randimbison*, Carlo La Vecchia , Van-Cong Te*, Silvia Franceschi , * Registre vaudois des tumeurs, Institut universitaire de médecine sociale et préventive, Lausanne, Switzerland, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche “Mario Negri”, and Istituto di Statistica Medica e Biometria, Università di Milano, Milan, Italy, Servizio di Epidemiologia, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico, Aviano, Italy
Several studies have investigated the possible relationship between fertility drugs and the risk of breast cancer. To provide further information on this issue, we analysed data from a case control study, conducted in Northern Italy between 1983 and 1991. Trained interviewers identified and questioned 3415 cases (women aged 23-74 years with histologically confirmed breast cancer) and 2916 controls (women aged 21-74 years admitted to the same hospitals for diseases other than malignant, hormonal or gynaecological conditions). Fifty (1.5%) cases and 53 (1.8%) controls reported any history of infertility; the corresponding multivariate odds ratios (OR) of breast cancer was 0.8 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5-1.1]. Sixteen (0.5%) cases and 11 (0.4%) controls reported ever using fertility drugs; the corresponding OR was 1.2 (95% CI 0.5-2.6). Allowance for potential confounding factors did not markedly modify these estimates. In conclusion, this study provides reassuring evidence on the absence of an association between fertility drug treatment and breast cancer risk.
Read moreIncreased incidence of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia has been reported over the last few decades from several areas of North America and Europe (1–2). A mortality study from the Swedish Cancer Registry, however, suggested that the observed upward trends can be, partly or largely, accounted for by changed accuracy of registration within gastric subsites (3). We considered, therefore, trends in incidence rates for various gastric subsites in the Cancer Registry of the Swiss Canton of Vaud (covering approximately 600 000 inhabitants in 1990 from the French-speaking part of Switzerland) over the period from 1976 through 1997. In this area, uniform criteria of classification have been adopted, and traditional attention has been focused on careful endoscopic and histopathologic examination of gastric lesions (4–6). Table 1 gives average age-adjusted (on the world standard population) incidence rates for various subsites of gastric cancer during three separate calendar periods. In both sexes, no appreciable change in incidence of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia was observed (3.1 cases per 100 000 males, and 0.5 cases per 100 000 females from 1976 through 1979 versus 3.2 and 0.1, respectively, from 1995 through 1997), while appreciable downward trends were observed for distal and other or unspecified gastric cancer sites. These data, from a carefully surveyed European population, therefore do not support the existence of a systematic and major rise in incidence of cardiac adenocarcinomas (3,7), confirming that—in proportional terms—the cancers of the gastric cardia have become
Read moreThe study provides reassuring information on a large cohort of a unique geothermal power plant since no significant excess mortality for asbestos related cancers was observed. Furthermore, it represents a useful application and validation of a comprehensive job-exposure matrix for the electric industry in Europe.
Read moreEvidence of a protective role of aspirin on the risk of colorectal and other common cancers has been building up since the end of the 1980s. There are now more than 15 epidemiological (case-control and cohort) studies indicating that long-term use of aspirin is associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer. The overall relative risk (RR) estimate for regular aspirin users was 0.71 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66-0.77) from case-control studies, and 0.84 (95% CI 0.72-0.98) from cohort studies. A recent meta-analysis reported a RR of breast cancer for aspirin use of 0.70 (95% CI 0.61-0.81) in case-control studies, and of 0.79 (95% CI 0.59-1.06) in cohort studies. Furthermore, various epidemiological studies have suggested that aspirin use might have a favourable effect on ovarian cancer as well: the overall RR estimate was 0.82 (95% CI 0.69-0.99), although the evidence is too limited to permit firm conclusions. Data are more scanty, though in the same direction, for other neoplasms, including in particular stomach and oesophageal cancer.
Read moreThe fall in cancer mortality observed over the last decade in Italy is attributable to a decline in lung and other tobacco-related neoplasms in males, together with a persistent fall in stomach and uterine (cervical) cancer. In women, there were also recent falls in intestinal and breast cancer rates, and declines in both sexes in rarer neoplasms influenced by therapeutic advancements.
Read moreThe incidence of most cancers rises with the fourth to fifth power of age, and that of breast cancer rises steeply up to age of menopause and continues to rise, though more slowly, thereafter. Contralateral breast cancer, however, seems to have a completely different age incidence pattern. According to the data of the Connecticut Cancer Registry, contralateral breast cancer rate was around 1% per year in women below age 45, and decreased subsequently to approach a constant rate of approximately 0.7% per year.1 In the Swedish Family Cancer Database, including 2,529 contralateral breast cancers, the rate was 0.8–0.9% per year between age 30 and 50, and declined thereafter to approximately 0.4% per year.2 This pattern of risk is compatible with the occurrence of a single mutational event in a population of susceptible women.3, 4 To provide further information on the issue, we have examined the epidemiology of contralateral breast cancer in the Swiss Canton of Vaud. For the present analysis we used the Vaud Cancer Registry dataset, which includes incident cases of malignant neoplasms in the Canton (around 602,000 inhabitants in 1990).5 Population-based incidence data have been available since 1974. After exclusion of 166 breast cancer cases detected either at autopsy, or at death, or by death certificate alone, and of synchronous breast cancers (i.e., within 2months after the first primary, n = 242), the present series comprised 7,734 women with a first breast cancer diagnosed between 1974 and 1998 (rate of histological confirmation: 96.8 percent). These women were followed-up to the end of 1998 for the occurrence of a second contralateral primary neoplasm, emigration, or death, for a total of 49,143 person-years at risk. Among these women, 214 had subsequent contralateral breast primary. Figure 1a gives the age distribution of breast cancer in the general population, based on 7,520 first single neoplasms and no subsequent contralateral, showing the well known steep rise in incidence below age 50, and the leveling of the slope of age thereafter. Age-specific incidence of (a) first breast cancer in the general population (n = 7,520; rates in quinquennial age groups per 100,000 women); (b) contralateral breast cancer in 214 women with first breast cancer (rates in decennial age groups per 100,000 women and (c) first breast cancer in the general population in 214 women who presented with contralateral breast cancer (rates in decennial age groups per 100,000 women). Swiss Canton of Vaud, 1974–98. Figure 1b gives the incidence of contralateral breast cancer, based on 214 neoplasms. The peak rate of 800/100,000 women was reached at age 30 to 39, the rate declined and reached 500/100,000 between age 45 and 69, and further declined thereafter to 300–400/100,000, i.e. a rate similar to that of first primary neoplasms above age 70. Figure 1c gives the age distribution of rates in the general population of first breast neoplasms in the 214 women with second ones. The rate of 6/100,000 women was reached at age 40 to 49, the incidence rates tended to level off until age 70, and to decline thereafter. The present data confirm that the age incidence curve of contralateral breast cancer is substantially different from that of breast cancer in the general population, with a peak at younger age (30–39 years), a plateau between 40 and 69 years, and a decline above age 70. Consequently, the relative risk of occurrence of a contralateral breast cancer will decline with age, because the background reference incidence rises with age.6-8 This pattern of risk would be compatible with the elimination of susceptible individuals with advancing age, or with a hormone-related influence on contralateral breast cancer, which may decline with menopause.9-11 The incidence of neoplasms other than breast, however, does not seem to be elevated in women diagnosed with breast cancer in this population.12 The Vaud dataset also indicates that the incidence of first breast cancer in women with subsequent contralateral neoplasm rises steeply below age 40, reaches a plateau between 40 and 69 years, and tends to decline thereafter, i.e. the slope of the age curve is substantially different from that of women without subsequent contralateral breast cancer, again pointing to the existence of a susceptibility in this subgroup of women.3, 4 The contributions of the Vaud Cancer Registry's staff are gratefully acknowledged. Fabio Levi Fax: +4121-3230303*, Lalao Randimbison*, Van-Cong Te*, Carlo La Vecchia , * Registre vaudois des tumeurs and Unité d'épidémiologie du cancer, Institut universitaire de ḿdecine sociale et préventive, Lausanne, Switzerland, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche “Mario Negri”, Milan, Italy, Istituto di Statistica Medica e Biometria, Università Degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy
Read moreThe relation between various types of fiber and oral, pharyngeal and esophageal cancer was investigated using data from a case-control study conducted between 1992 and 1997 in Italy. Cases were 271 hospital patients with incident, histologically confirmed oral cancer, 327 with pharyngeal cancer and 304 with esophageal cancer. Controls were 1,950 subjects admitted to the same network of hospitals as the cases for acute, nonneoplastic diseases. Cases and controls were interviewed during their hospital stay using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Odds ratios (OR) were computed after allowance for age, sex, and other potential confounding factors, including alcohol, tobacco consumption, and energy intake. The ORs for the highest vs. the lowest quintile of intake of oral, pharyngeal and esophageal cancer combined were 0.40 for total (Englyst) fiber, 0.37 for soluble fiber, 0.52 for cellulose, 0.48 for insoluble non cellulose polysaccharide, 0.33 for total insoluble fiber and 0.38 for lignin. The inverse relation were similar for vegetable fiber (OR = 0.51), fruit fiber (OR = 0.60) and grain fiber (OR = 0.56), and were somewhat stronger for oral and pharyngeal cancer than for esophageal cancer. The ORs were similar for the two sexes and strata of age, education, alcohol and tobacco consumption, and total non-alcohol energy intake. Our study indicates that fiber intake may have a protective role on oral, pharyngeal and esophageal cancer.
Read moreAn innovative approach was used to define a low-risk diet for colorectal cancer from a multicentric case-control study of 1953 incident cases and 4154 hospital controls from Italy. A logistic regression model was fitted on the reported intake of five macronutrients, and the estimated coefficients were used to compute a diet-related logistic risk score (LRS). The mean of LRS within risk decile ranged from 0.89 to 1.86. Total energy intake and absolute consumption of each macronutrient increased with increasing LRS. In relative terms, however, starch intake showed an almost threefold increase across subsequent score levels, while a decline was observed for unsaturated fat, sugar and protein. Saturated fat consumption remained fairly stable in relative terms. When food groups were considered, bread and cereals dishes, cakes and desserts and refined sugar were positively associated, while the consumption of vegetables, fruit, fish, poultry and olive oils was inversely associated with LRS.
Read moreWeiderpass et al. [(1)][1] , on a record linkage cohort study, found an excess risk for in situ and invasive cervical cancer among alcoholic women. Little is known about the potential role of lower levels of alcohol consumption in the etiology of cervical cancer. In the interview study from the
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